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The Turkish Civil War has begun

Dec 23, 2015

Thirty years ago, in 1985, I had a dream in which I was in Turkey on a mission. This was perhaps my first indication that I had a calling to Muslim countries. In the dream I saw fighting in the streets in what looked to be either violent protests or an outright civil war. It appears that such a time may be approaching, according to this news article, which is headlined:

Turkey Descends Into Civil War as Pro-Kurdish Opposition Leader Arrives in Moscow

http://fortruss.blogspot.ca/2015/12/turkey-descends-into-civil-war-as-pro.html

The Minister of Foreign Affairs of Russia Sergey Lavrov may meet with the leader of the Pro-Kurdish opposition People's Democracy party of Turkey, Selahattin Demirtash, informed RIA Novosti with reference to its sources in the Russian Foreign Ministry. It is known that Demirtash arrives in Moscow on Tuesday, he had earlier expressed the desire to meet with Lavrov….

In the southeastern provinces predominantly populated by Kurds, there is currently fighting between the Kurdish militia and the Turkish army. Data on casualties from both sides varies, but we are talking about dozens of dead and wounded. On Sunday there were street battles in Istanbul between police and thousands of protesters demanding to stop the military operation. We can safely say that the internal political situation in Turkey is heating up, and not in favor of Erdogan….

— There are not just clashes in Turkey, it's a civil war. Demirtash warned a few months ago that the country is on the verge of civil war, now it has begun. Following the statements of Erdogan and Prime Minister Davutoglu that "the liberation of the territories from bandits has begun." In fact, we are talking about ethnic cleansing, thousands of people are now fleeing from their towns and villages. The PKK has declared that the war has began….

- Now Russia launched an air operation in Syria, and the situation in this country has changed. Russia is a permanent member of the UN Security Council. Despite the attempts to isolate Russia, it remains a great power. The Kurds of Iraq, Syria, Turkey, Iran look up to Russia with great hope. Moreover, the Kurds do not stress the issue of secession, they advocate for autonomy, federal or confederate structure of the states, that is, in the framework of international law.

COMMENT: Turkey’s president should have been more friendly with Russia, considering its fragile situation with the Kurds in the eastern part of the country. Russian support for the Kurds, if it develops, could be comparable to what Turkey is doing in Syria to promote civil war by backing the political opposition.

Russia does not need to go to war with Turkey. All they need to do is to back the Kurds in Turkey, who want more autonomy. Such practice has been done in most of the recent wars. Turkey and the US is doing this today in Syria. There are more proxy wars than “real” wars.

Whatever happens, it is a sure bet that Turkey will pay a heavy price for downing the Russian bomber last month. At the present time, the Kurds are pushing for more autonomy, but the more bloody the conflict is, the more the goals change. The chances are good that the Turkish president will harden his stance, and if Russia backs the Kurds with arms or money to purchase arms, then the final result will be an independent Kurdish state, which could even include parts of Iraq and Iran, where Kurds abound.


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Dr. Stephen Jones


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